MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 13:28:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 10
Apr 28, 2024 at 7am UK
SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Reysol
1 - 1
Sagan Tosu

Shimamura (40')
Diego (28'), Tsuchiya (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ryan (14')
Kim (51'), Naganuma (76')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last Game: Reysol 1-0 Urawa
Friday, April 12 at 11am in J1 League

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 4-2 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, April 20 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 50.67%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 24.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Kashiwa ReysolDrawSagan Tosu
50.67% (0.529 0.53) 24.98% (-0.185 -0.18) 24.35% (-0.347 -0.35)
Both teams to score 51.23% (0.206 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.82% (0.445 0.45)51.18% (-0.447 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (0.39 0.39)73.02% (-0.39100000000001 -0.39)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (0.39700000000001 0.4)20.2% (-0.399 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.48% (0.63200000000001 0.63)52.52% (-0.634 -0.63)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.2% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)35.8% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.42% (-0.064 -0.06)72.57% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Kashiwa Reysol 50.66%
    Sagan Tosu 24.35%
    Draw 24.98%
Kashiwa ReysolDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 11.56% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.25% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.088 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.93% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 50.66%
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 7.43% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-2 @ 6.1% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 24.35%

Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 5am
Gameweek 33
Reysol
2-2
Sagan Tosu
Savio (34'), Hosoya (38')
Togashi (4'), Naganuma (67')
Kawahara (21'), Tezuka (47')
Apr 15, 2023 7am
Gameweek 8
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Reysol
Naganuma (55')
Savio (75')
Jul 10, 2022 11am
Gameweek 21
Sagan Tosu
0-1
Reysol

Kikuchi (71')
Muto (19')
Kawaguchi (90+6')
Apr 29, 2022 8am
Gameweek 10
Reysol
1-4
Sagan Tosu
Hosoya (55')
Honda (27'), Tashiro (45'), Fukuta (64'), Iino (82')
Koizumi (30'), Fujita (90+2')
Aug 21, 2021 11am
Gameweek 25
Reysol
1-3
Sagan Tosu
Da Silva (37')
Segawa (49')
Higuchi (13'), Koyamatsu (31', 55')
Seok-Ho (75'), Park (90')
rhs 2.0
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