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Groningen
KNVB Beker | Quarter-Finals
Feb 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Euroborg
Fortuna Sittard

Groningen
0 - 0
Sittard

FT
(aet)

Guth (90+5')
Groningen win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's KNVB Beker clash between Groningen and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions
KNVB Beker
Last Game: Dordrecht 1-0 Groningen
Friday, February 2 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions
KNVB Beker
Last Game: Sittard 3-3 Heerenveen
Saturday, February 3 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We say: Groningen 1-2 Fortuna Sittard

 Both sides are in good form, and it is set to be an intriguing cup tie between two clubs who would not have been fancied to get far before a ball was kicked in the competition. However, despite already taking down one Eredivisie club, repeating the feat will be a challenge for Groningen, and Sittard's superior quality may edge this encounter in favour of the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 58.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 18.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (5.64%).

Result
GroningenDrawFortuna Sittard
58.85% (-0.143 -0.14) 22.26% (0.041 0.04) 18.89% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 52.2% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.85% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)46.15% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.55% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)68.45% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.66% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)15.34% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.9% (-0.104 -0.1)44.1% (0.104 0.1)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.66% (0.094999999999999 0.09)38.34% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.9% (0.094000000000001 0.09)75.1% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Groningen 58.84%
    Fortuna Sittard 18.89%
    Draw 22.26%
GroningenDrawFortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.33% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.46% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 58.84%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.88% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.26%
0-1 @ 5.64% (0.021 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.07% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 18.89%

How you voted: Groningen vs Sittard

Groningen
33.8%
Draw
15.6%
Fortuna Sittard
50.6%
77
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Pepi (76')
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Gladon (78', 84'), Noslin (90+4')
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