Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 72.17%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 11.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.

Result
Groningen	Draw	Jong AZ
72.17% ( 0.02)	16.28% ( -0.01)	11.55% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.78% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.28% (

0.02)

33.71% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.46% (

0.02)

55.54% (

-0.03)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.84% (

8.16% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.39% (

0.02)

28.61% (

-0.02)

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.64% (

-0.01)

40.35% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.03% (

-0.01)

76.97% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Groningen 72.16%

Jong AZ 11.55%

Draw 16.28%

Groningen	Draw	Jong AZ
2-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.64% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.84% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.91% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.56% 5-0 @ 2.71% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.46% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.23% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.13% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 72.16%	1-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.29% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.17% Total : 16.28%	1-2 @ 3.4% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.99% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.36% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 1.49% Total : 11.55%