MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 18:16:42| >> :60:706:706:
NAC Breda
KNVB Beker | Round of 16
Feb 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
Rat Verlegh Stadion
Heerenveen

NAC Breda
1 - 2
Heerenveen

Boere (16')
Velanas (41'), Omgba (43'), Besselink (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
van Hooijdonk (45+1', 53')
van Aken (27'), Haye (30'), Kaib (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's KNVB Beker clash between NAC Breda and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NAC Breda

All competitions
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 2-1 NAC Breda
Friday, February 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, February 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: NAC Breda 1-2 Heerenveen

 Heerenveen have been largely underwhelming away from home of late, but they will back themselves to see off the threat of lower league opposition nonetheless. While we expect Breda to put up a good fight, we are backing their visitors to carry the day and progress to the last eight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Heerenveen in this match.

Result
NAC BredaDrawHeerenveen
29.9% (-0.15 -0.15) 24.46% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 45.63% (0.152 0.15)
Both teams to score 57.42% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (-0.055 -0.05)45.14% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.51% (-0.052 -0.05)67.49% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (-0.131 -0.13)28.31% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.96% (-0.164 -0.16)64.04% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.1% (0.040999999999997 0.04)19.9% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.97% (0.068999999999996 0.07)52.02% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    NAC Breda 29.9%
    Heerenveen 45.63%
    Draw 24.46%
NAC BredaDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.11% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.49% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.89% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 29.9%
1-1 @ 11.47%
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.46%
1-2 @ 9.27% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.1% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.34% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.99% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.95% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.01% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.6% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 45.63%

How you voted: NAC Breda vs Heerenveen

NAC Breda
36.8%
Draw
10.5%
Heerenveen
52.6%
38
Head to Head
May 12, 2019 1.30pm
Heerenveen
2-1
NAC Breda
Lammers (69'), Van Bergen (90')
Koch (81')
Dec 22, 2018 6.45pm
NAC Breda
4-2
Heerenveen
Te Vrede (6', 58'), Rosheuvel (69', 76')
Korte (45'), Leigh (60')
Rienstra (11'), Van Bergen (27')
van Amersfoort (36'), Hahn (70')
Rienstra (14'), Kobayashi (45')
Apr 29, 2018 1.30pm
NAC Breda
3-0
Heerenveen
Fernandes (6'), Te Vrede (12'), Mari (47')
Verschueren (77')

Pierie (12'), Hoegh (69')
Dec 16, 2017 5.30pm
Heerenveen
1-0
NAC Breda
Van Amersfoort (55')
Schmidt (93')
Apr 4, 2015 6.45pm
Heerenveen
0-0
NAC Breda

Schmidt (7')

de Zeeuw (28'), Marcellis (86')
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