Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 22, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Heerenveen3 - 1Groningen
Sarr (5', 82'), van Amersfoort (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Heerenveen 0-2 AZ
Saturday, January 14 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, January 14 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 0-3 Feyenoord
Sunday, January 15 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, January 15 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
We said: Heerenveen 2-0 Groningen
Heerenveen might have struggled in their most recent performance, but they should head into this game as the clear favourites. The visitors are on a difficult run of form right now, and playing away from home is unlikely going to be the moment that all changes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 53.34%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Groningen |
53.34% ( -0.25) | 23.19% ( 0.05) | 23.46% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 55.95% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.54% ( -0.04) | 44.45% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.17% ( -0.03) | 66.82% ( 0.03) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.37% ( -0.1) | 16.62% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.54% ( -0.18) | 46.45% ( 0.18) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.11% ( 0.15) | 32.89% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.53% ( 0.17) | 69.46% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
Heerenveen 53.34%
Groningen 23.46%
Draw 23.19%
| Heerenveen | Draw | Groningen |
| 1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 53.34% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.19% | 0-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 23.46% |
How you voted: Heerenveen vs Groningen
Heerenveen
78.1%Draw
6.3%Groningen
15.6%32
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 11.15am
Sep 12, 2021 1.30pm
Apr 11, 2021 1.30pm
Feb 21, 2021 1.30pm
Apr 10, 2020 7pm
Form Guide
