MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:13:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Heerenveen

Utrecht
1 - 0
Heerenveen

Douvikas (69' pen.)
Toornstra (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bochniewicz (66'), van Ottele (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 5-5 Utrecht
Saturday, January 28 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 1-3 Vitesse
Saturday, January 28 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 2-1 Heerenveen

Judging by the league table, there is very little separating Saturday's opponents, and the clash could easily swing either way. That said, we are backing the hosts to narrowly pip their visitors to all three points come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Utrecht.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawHeerenveen
49.99% (0.116 0.12) 24.25% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 25.76% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54.94% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.04% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)46.96% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.79% (-0.041 -0.04)69.21% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.17% (0.027000000000001 0.03)18.83% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.74% (0.046999999999997 0.05)50.26% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (-0.111 -0.11)32.32% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.18% (-0.124 -0.12)68.82% (0.122 0.12)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 49.99%
    Heerenveen 25.76%
    Draw 24.25%
FC UtrechtDrawHeerenveen
1-0 @ 10.16% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.48% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.72% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 49.99%
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 6.08% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 25.76%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Heerenveen

FC Utrecht
86.7%
Draw
6.7%
Heerenveen
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3.30pm
Feb 27, 2022 7pm
Oct 23, 2021 5.45pm
May 8, 2021 5.45pm
Oct 2, 2020 7pm
Utrecht
1-1
Heerenveen
Kerk (44')
van de Streek (48')
Veerman (4')
Smit (77')
Smit (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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