MX23RW : Tuesday, January 28 12:36:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Heerenveen

Utrecht
1 - 0
Heerenveen

Douvikas (69' pen.)
Toornstra (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bochniewicz (66'), van Ottele (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 5-5 Utrecht
Saturday, January 28 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 1-3 Vitesse
Saturday, January 28 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 2-1 Heerenveen

Judging by the league table, there is very little separating Saturday's opponents, and the clash could easily swing either way. That said, we are backing the hosts to narrowly pip their visitors to all three points come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Utrecht.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawHeerenveen
49.99% (0.116 0.12) 24.25% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 25.76% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54.94% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.04% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)46.96% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.79% (-0.041 -0.04)69.21% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.17% (0.027000000000001 0.03)18.83% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.74% (0.046999999999997 0.05)50.26% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (-0.111 -0.11)32.32% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.18% (-0.124 -0.12)68.82% (0.122 0.12)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 49.99%
    Heerenveen 25.76%
    Draw 24.25%
FC UtrechtDrawHeerenveen
1-0 @ 10.16% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.48% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.72% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 49.99%
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 6.08% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 25.76%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Heerenveen

FC Utrecht
86.7%
Draw
6.7%
Heerenveen
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3.30pm
Feb 27, 2022 7pm
Oct 23, 2021 5.45pm
May 8, 2021 5.45pm
Oct 2, 2020 7pm
Utrecht
1-1
Heerenveen
Kerk (44')
van de Streek (48')
Veerman (4')
Smit (77')
Smit (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV20161365204549
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2012533730741
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ20104634211334
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard207492736-925
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2081112535-1025
10Heerenveen2073102136-1524
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II206592428-423
13PEC Zwolle206592329-623
14Groningen195591628-1220
15Heracles194782235-1319
16Sparta RotterdamSparta203891829-1117
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2025132244-2211
18Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910


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