MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:42:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alaves logo
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
La Liga header desktop

La Liga
Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 20, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Girona logo

Almeria
3 - 2
Girona

Baptistao (13'), Bilal Toure (17'), Embarba (38')
Ramazani (85')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Riquelme (47'), Stuani (83' pen.)
Herrera (5'), Bueno (36'), Espinosa (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Betis 3-1 Almeria
Sunday, October 16 at 8pm in La Liga

Girona

All competitions
Last Game: Girona 1-1 Cadiz
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-1 Girona

 With both sides desperate for the win, we are predicting a cagey game, with neither side wanting to overcommit and leave themselves vulnerable on the counter. Almeria have looked better going forward in recent weeks, while Girona are always dangerous with Stuani on the pitch, so a score draw would seem to be a plausible outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Girona had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawGirona
46.36% (0.409 0.41) 26.5% (-0.117 -0.12) 27.13% (-0.291 -0.29)
Both teams to score 49.14% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.9% (0.282 0.28)55.1% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.65% (0.232 0.23)76.35% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.27% (0.319 0.32)23.73% (-0.318 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.13% (0.454 0.45)57.87% (-0.454 -0.45)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)35.56% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.67% (-0.087 -0.09)72.33% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 46.35%
    Girona 27.13%
    Draw 26.5%
AlmeriaDrawGirona
1-0 @ 12.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.73% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 46.35%
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.44% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 8.73% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-2 @ 6.49% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 27.13%

How you voted: Almeria vs Girona

Almeria
48.6%
Draw
31.4%
Girona
20.0%
105
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2022 8pm
Almeria
0-1
Girona

Ely (45+1'), Pozo (51')
Garcia (13')
Lozano (19'), Bueno (49'), Sanchez (78'), Carlos (80'), Garcia (83'), Espinosa (89')
Garcia (90+1')
Oct 4, 2021 8pm
Girona
1-2
Almeria
Espinosa (62')
Espinosa (40'), Baena (75')
Sadiq (52'), Robertone (68')
Sadiq (34'), Centelles (71'), Robertone (87')
Jun 5, 2021 8pm
Almeria
0-0
Girona

Fernandes (39'), Bunuel (43'), Robertone (52'), Samu (56')

Kebe (67'), Sylla (89')
Jun 2, 2021 8pm
Girona
3-0
Almeria
Joel Barcenas (3'), Couto (5'), Sylla (65')
Juanpe (52'), Franquesa (54')

Balliu (27'), Ramazani (30'), Makaridze (85')
Mar 7, 2021 8pm
Girona
0-1
Almeria

Terrats (49')
Espinosa (90+4')
Sadiq (72')
Samu (27'), Morlanes (50'), Villar (90+4'), Maras (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!