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La Liga
Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 20, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Girona logo

Almeria
3 - 2
Girona

Baptistao (13'), Bilal Toure (17'), Embarba (38')
Ramazani (85')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Riquelme (47'), Stuani (83' pen.)
Herrera (5'), Bueno (36'), Espinosa (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Betis 3-1 Almeria
Sunday, October 16 at 8pm in La Liga

Girona

All competitions
Last Game: Girona 1-1 Cadiz
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-1 Girona

 With both sides desperate for the win, we are predicting a cagey game, with neither side wanting to overcommit and leave themselves vulnerable on the counter. Almeria have looked better going forward in recent weeks, while Girona are always dangerous with Stuani on the pitch, so a score draw would seem to be a plausible outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Girona had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawGirona
46.36% (0.409 0.41) 26.5% (-0.117 -0.12) 27.13% (-0.291 -0.29)
Both teams to score 49.14% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.9% (0.282 0.28)55.1% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.65% (0.232 0.23)76.35% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.27% (0.319 0.32)23.73% (-0.318 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.13% (0.454 0.45)57.87% (-0.454 -0.45)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)35.56% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.67% (-0.087 -0.09)72.33% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 46.35%
    Girona 27.13%
    Draw 26.5%
AlmeriaDrawGirona
1-0 @ 12.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.73% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 46.35%
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.44% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 8.73% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-2 @ 6.49% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 27.13%

How you voted: Almeria vs Girona

Almeria
48.6%
Draw
31.4%
Girona
20.0%
105
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2022 8pm
Almeria
0-1
Girona

Ely (45+1'), Pozo (51')
Garcia (13')
Lozano (19'), Bueno (49'), Sanchez (78'), Carlos (80'), Garcia (83'), Espinosa (89')
Garcia (90+1')
Oct 4, 2021 8pm
Girona
1-2
Almeria
Espinosa (62')
Espinosa (40'), Baena (75')
Sadiq (52'), Robertone (68')
Sadiq (34'), Centelles (71'), Robertone (87')
Jun 5, 2021 8pm
Almeria
0-0
Girona

Fernandes (39'), Bunuel (43'), Robertone (52'), Samu (56')

Kebe (67'), Sylla (89')
Jun 2, 2021 8pm
Girona
3-0
Almeria
Joel Barcenas (3'), Couto (5'), Sylla (65')
Juanpe (52'), Franquesa (54')

Balliu (27'), Ramazani (30'), Makaridze (85')
Mar 7, 2021 8pm
Girona
0-1
Almeria

Terrats (49')
Espinosa (90+4')
Sadiq (72')
Samu (27'), Morlanes (50'), Villar (90+4'), Maras (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico19135134122244
2Real Madrid19134243192443
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona197472725225
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196752123-225
11Osasuna196762328-525
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas196492429-522
15Getafe194781316-319
16Leganes194781829-1119
17AlavesAlaves194592131-1017
18Espanyol1944111731-1416
19Valencia1927101829-1113
20Real ValladolidValladolid1933121337-2412
> La Liga Full Table


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