Girona

2 - 1

Real Valladolid

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.