La Liga Gameweek 35
May 20, 2023 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT San Mamés Barria
  • Inaki Williams 5' goal
  • Alex Berenguer 54' goal
  • goal Jorgen Strand Larsen 50'

Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2023 5.30pm
Villarreal 5 - 1 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Inaki Williams

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
May 14, 2023 1.00pm
Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Valencia
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Iago Aspas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 19.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result

Athletic Bilbao 55.22% (+0.32)
Draw 25.42% (-0.10)
Celta Vigo 19.36% (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.84% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.29% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 57.71% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 21.54% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 78.46% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 9.24% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 90.76% (-0.05)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 79.05% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 20.95% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 46.31% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 53.69% (-0.26)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 55.46% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 44.54% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 19.43% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 80.56% (+0.17)

Score analysis

Athletic Bilbao 55.22%
Draw 25.42%
Celta Vigo 19.36%
Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 14.58% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 11.4% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.22% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.94% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.8% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 2.32% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.94% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.88% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 55.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 9.33% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 25.42%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 7.55% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 4.77% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 19.36%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 29, 2023 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Iago Aspas 71' goal
La Liga Gameweek 32
Apr 17, 2022 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Alex Petxarroman 41' yellowcard
  • Iker Muniain 62' yellowcard
  • goal Iago Aspas 11'
  • goal Fran Beltran 37'
  • yellowcard Kevin Vazquez 51'
  • yellowcard Renato Tapia 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2021 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Brais Mendez 52' yellowcard
  • Hugo Mallo 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Inaki Williams 34'
  • yellowcard Unai Simon 90'+6'
La Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 14, 2021 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Santi Mina 45' yellowcard
  • Kevin Vazquez 63' yellowcard
  • Jeison Murillo 70' yellowcard
  • E. Coudet 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Inigo Lekue 41'
La Liga Gameweek 12
Dec 4, 2020 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Unai Nunez 26' yellowcard
  • Mikel Vesga 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeison Murillo 53'
  • goal Hugo Mallo 61'
  • goal Iago Aspas 78'
La Liga Gameweek 20
Jan 19, 2020 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT San Mamés Barria (Bilbao)
  • Ander Capa 13' yellowcard
  • Unai Lopez 19' yellowcard
  • Yuri Berchiche 27' yellowcard
  • Raul Garcia 76' goal
  • Inigo Martinez 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nestor Araujo 23'
  • goal Rafinha 56'
  • yellowcard Ruben Blanco 73'
  • yellowcard Kevin Vazquez 93'