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La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 20, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Celta Vigo logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 1
Celta Vigo

Williams (5'), Berenguer (54')
Paredes (34'), Williams (39'), Garcia (82'), Garcia (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Valencia
Sunday, May 14 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Celta Vigo

Neither team will enter this match in the best of form, but we are expecting Athletic to emerge victorious on Saturday afternoon. Celta could be missing their first-choice front two this weekend, which makes the Lions even bigger favourites to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 19.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawCelta Vigo
55.22% (0.314 0.31) 25.42% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1) 19.36% (-0.22 -0.22)
Both teams to score 43.84% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.29% (0.085999999999999 0.09)57.71% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.54% (0.068000000000001 0.07)78.46% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (0.164 0.16)20.95% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31% (0.256 0.26)53.69% (-0.257 -0.26)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.46% (-0.2 -0.2)44.54% (0.196 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.43% (-0.163 -0.16)80.56% (0.16199999999999 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 55.22%
    Celta Vigo 19.36%
    Draw 25.42%
Athletic BilbaoDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 14.58% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.4% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.94% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.32% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 55.22%
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.33% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.55% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-2 @ 4.77% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 19.36%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo

Athletic Bilbao
83.7%
Draw
9.3%
Celta Vigo
7.0%
43
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2023 5.30pm
gameweek 19
Celta Vigo
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Aspas (71')
Tapia (36'), Nunez (81')

Alvarez (61'), Zarraga (87')
Apr 17, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 32
Athletic Bilbao
0-2
Celta Vigo

Petxarroman (41'), Muniain (62')
Aspas (11'), Beltran (37')
Vazquez (51'), Tapia (90+3')
Aug 28, 2021 4pm
gameweek 3
Celta Vigo
0-1
Athletic Bilbao

Mendez (52'), Mallo (90+6')
Williams (34')
Simon (90+6')
Mar 14, 2021 1pm
gameweek 27
Celta Vigo
0-0
Athletic Bilbao

Mina (45'), Vazquez (63'), Murillo (70'), Coudet (89')

Lekue (41')
Dec 4, 2020 8pm
gameweek 12
Athletic Bilbao
0-2
Celta Vigo

Nunez (26'), Vesga (84')
Mallo (61'), Aspas (78')
Murillo (53')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid19134243192443
2Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona197472725225
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196752123-225
11Osasuna186752327-425
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
15Leganes194781829-1119
16AlavesAlaves194592131-1017
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1944111731-1416
19Valencia1927101829-1113
20Real ValladolidValladolid1933121337-2412


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