Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 65.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 13.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Celta Vigo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Celta Vigo.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Elche |
65.64% ( 0.13) | 20.78% ( 0.04) | 13.57% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 45.32% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.68% ( -0.52) | 49.31% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.63% ( -0.47) | 71.36% ( 0.47) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.78% ( -0.12) | 14.22% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.04% ( -0.24) | 41.95% ( 0.24) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.83% ( -0.59) | 47.16% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.39% ( -0.44) | 82.61% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Elche |
1-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 12.75% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.35% Total : 65.63% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.78% | 0-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.12% Total : 13.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |