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La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio de Balaídos
Elche

Celta Vigo
1 - 0
Elche

Aidoo (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, April 22 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 0-2 Valencia
Sunday, April 23 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 2-0 Elche

We expect Celta Vigo to return to winning ways with a straightforward victory over Elche, who are on course to suffer a sixth successive defeat as their top-flight status continues to slip away. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 65.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 13.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Celta Vigo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Celta Vigo.

Result
Celta VigoDrawElche
65.64% (0.133 0.13) 20.78% (0.041 0.04) 13.57% (-0.174 -0.17)
Both teams to score 45.32% (-0.568 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.68% (-0.52 -0.52)49.31% (0.52 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.63% (-0.47 -0.47)71.36% (0.47 0.47)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.78% (-0.12400000000001 -0.12)14.22% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.04% (-0.243 -0.24)41.95% (0.242 0.24)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.83% (-0.586 -0.59)47.16% (0.586 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.39% (-0.442 -0.44)82.61% (0.444 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 65.63%
    Elche 13.57%
    Draw 20.78%
Celta VigoDrawElche
1-0 @ 13.08% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 12.75% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 8.3% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.05% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.04% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 65.63%
1-1 @ 9.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 6.71% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.6% (-0.075 -0.07)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 20.78%
0-1 @ 5.04% (0.024 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.69% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 0.93% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 0.9% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 13.57%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Elche

Celta Vigo
79.2%
Draw
13.2%
Elche
7.5%
53
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2023 5.30pm
gameweek 16
Elche
0-1
Celta Vigo
Aspas (5')
Paciencia (30')
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
gameweek 37
Celta Vigo
1-0
Elche
Suarez (9')
Galan (56'), Tapia (73')

Marcone (81'), Morente (90+3')
Oct 3, 2021 1pm
gameweek 8
Elche
1-0
Celta Vigo
Benedetto (49')
Josan (35'), Barragan (58'), Mascarell (89'), Casilla (90+8')

Araujo (72'), Mallo (82'), Mina (90+9')
Feb 12, 2021 8pm
gameweek 23
Celta Vigo
3-1
Elche
Mina (45', 68'), Mendez (45+2')
Mendez (53'), Ferreyra (78'), Aspas (82')
Rigoni (50')
Rigoni (36'), Gonzalo (82')
Nov 6, 2020 8pm
gameweek 9
Elche
1-1
Celta Vigo
Fidel (4' pen.)
Gonzalez (13'), Boye (58'), Barragan (90+4')
Mina (41')
Suarez (5'), Olaza (72'), Aspas (81'), Rodriguez (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


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