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La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2023 at 9pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Sevilla logo

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Sevilla


Sancet (72'), Alvarez (90'), Garcia (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ocampos (90+2' pen.)
Lamela (37'), Acuna (45'), Ocampos (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Sevilla

Both sides enter Thursday's showdown in strong form, so we expect Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla to dish up a closely-fought battle as they look to continue their respective hot streaks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 19.62%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawSevilla
55.13% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 25.25% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 19.62% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Both teams to score 44.65% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.16% (-0.11 -0.11)56.84% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.23% (-0.087 -0.09)77.77% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)20.64% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.8% (-0.132 -0.13)53.2% (0.135 0.13)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.26% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)43.74% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.09% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)79.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 55.11%
    Sevilla 19.62%
    Draw 25.24%
Athletic BilbaoDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 14.24% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 55.11%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.03% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.46% (0.03 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.09% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 19.62%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla

Athletic Bilbao
37.3%
Draw
26.7%
Sevilla
36.0%
75
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 8
Sevilla
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Torres (4')
Isco (38')
Vesga (73')
May 22, 2022 9pm
gameweek 38
Sevilla
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Mir (68')
Jordan (25'), Acuna (76'), Papu (90+5')

Garcia (38'), Berchiche (57'), Vivian (64')
Dec 11, 2021 8pm
gameweek 17
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Sevilla

Lekue (52'), Garcia (62'), Vencedor (65'), Martinez (90+3')
Delaney (38')
Fernando (73'), Rekik (88'), Kounde (90')
May 3, 2021 8pm
Oct 31, 2020 3.15pm
gameweek 8
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Sevilla
Muniain (76'), Sancet (86')
Garcia (30'), Martinez (54'), Williams (62'), Lopez (89'), Berchiche (90+2')
En-Nesyri (9')
Fernando (26'), Kounde (63'), Acuna (69'), Navas (88'), Carlos (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Real Sociedad124351010015
11GironaGirona124351517-215
12Sevilla124351217-515
13Celta Vigo114161720-313
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe1117389-110
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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