Real Madrid2 - 0Celta Vigo
The Match
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Tuesday, April 18 at 8pm in Champions League
Monday, April 17 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Real Madrid 1-0 Celta Vigo
Celta will certainly be the fresher of the two teams entering this match, and it could be a close affair at Bernabeu, with Ancelotti likely to make a number of changes to his side. However, Real Madrid should still be able to navigate their way to their 20th league victory of the campaign. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 16.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
64.18% ( -0.01) | 19.59% ( 0.02) | 16.23% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.91% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.38% ( -0.08) | 38.62% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.08% ( -0.09) | 60.92% ( 0.09) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.62% ( -0.03) | 11.38% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.89% ( -0.05) | 36.11% ( 0.06) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.09% ( -0.06) | 36.91% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.3% ( -0.06) | 73.7% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.19% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.9% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.7% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.2% Total : 64.18% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.59% | 1-2 @ 4.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 16.23% |
How you voted: Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo
