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La Liga | Gameweek 33
May 4, 2023 at 9pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Real Betis logo

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Betis


de Marcos (49')
Vivian (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jose (6')
Perez (43'), Pezzella (56'), Guardado (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 4-0 Betis
Saturday, April 29 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Betis

While Athletic Bilbao have struggled for consistency on home soil in recent times, Real Betis have faltered on the road, losing each of their last three away league games. With that in mind, we expect Athletic and Betis to share the points at San Mames as both sides aim to avoid defeat and keep their respective European pushes alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 15.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Betis
62.38% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 22.07% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 15.55% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.25% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.31% (0.045000000000002 0.05)50.69% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.41% (0.038 0.04)72.59% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.29% (0.027999999999992 0.03)15.71% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.21% (0.049999999999997 0.05)44.79% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.13% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)81.04% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 62.37%
    Real Betis 15.55%
    Draw 22.07%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 13.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.14%
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.49% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.96% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 62.37%
1-1 @ 10.44%
0-0 @ 7.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 22.07%
0-1 @ 5.64% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.1%
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 15.55%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Betis

Athletic Bilbao
Draw
Real Betis
Athletic Bilbao
63.8%
Draw
23.2%
Real Betis
13.0%
69
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 6.15pm
Mar 13, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 28
Betis
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Iglesias (20')
Pezzella (25'), Miranda (28'), Ruibal (76'), Canales (80')
Fekir (80')

Berchiche (8'), Berenguer (16'), Williams (77'), de Marcos (80'), Sancet (80')
Dec 19, 2021 3.15pm
gameweek 18
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Betis
Williams (2', 72'), De Marcos (89')
Zarraga (58')
Juanmi (6'), Fekir (52')
Fekir (49'), Rodriguez (58'), Pellegrini (90+2')
Apr 21, 2021 7pm
gameweek 31
Betis
0-0
Athletic Bilbao

Rodriguez (55'), Guardado (82'), Bravo (88')
Fekir (11')

de Marcos (43'), Nunez (90+5')
Feb 4, 2021 8pm
Quarter-finals
Betis
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao win 4-1 on penalties
Juanmi (84')
Ruibal (55'), Carvalho (83')
Garcia (90+4')
Berchiche (39'), Alvarez (42'), Garcia (48'), Martinez (53'), Lekue (72'), Garcia (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona29213582285466
2Real Madrid29196462293363
3Atletico MadridAtletico29169447232457
4Athletic Bilbao291411446242253
5Villarreal28138751391247
6Real BetisBetis2913884036447
7Rayo Vallecano29101093331240
8Celta Vigo29117114242040
9Mallorca29117112835-740
10Real Sociedad29115132731-438
11Getafe2999112625136
12Sevilla2999113339-636
13GironaGirona2997133745-834
14Osasuna2971393342-934
15Valencia29710123246-1431
16Espanyol2878132740-1329
17AlavesAlaves2969143244-1227
18Leganes2969142846-1827
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2968153348-1526
20Real ValladolidValladolid2944211965-4616


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