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La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 14, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Balaídos
Valencia logo

Celta Vigo
1 - 2
Valencia

Seferovic (60')
de la Torre (27'), Veiga (41'), Carvalhal (63'), Tapia (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kluivert (8'), Mari (88')
Diakhaby (19'), Moriba (73'), Paulista (74'), Almeida (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 1-0 Celta Vigo
Wednesday, May 3 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Villarreal
Wednesday, May 3 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Valencia

There is simply no downplaying the importance of this match, and a win for Valencia would boost their survival hopes while pulling Celta into the battle to avoid the drop. It would not be a surprise to see a home or away win here, but we just have a feeling that the points will ultimately be shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Celta VigoDrawValencia
45% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04) 27.41% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 27.59% (0.09 0.09)
Both teams to score 46.87% (0.193 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.83% (0.215 0.21)58.17% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.18% (0.169 0.17)78.82% (-0.166 -0.17)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.23% (0.079999999999998 0.08)25.77% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.29% (0.105 0.11)60.71% (-0.101 -0.1)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.14% (0.193 0.19)36.86% (-0.189 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36% (0.192 0.19)73.64% (-0.187 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 44.99%
    Valencia 27.59%
    Draw 27.41%
Celta VigoDrawValencia
1-0 @ 12.87% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.73% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 44.99%
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.5% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.48% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.42% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 27.59%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Valencia

Celta Vigo
41.8%
Draw
25.5%
Valencia
32.7%
55
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 6
Valencia
3-0
Celta Vigo
Castillejo (37'), Maranhao (82'), Almeida (90+3')
Guillamon (16')
May 21, 2022 4.30pm
gameweek 38
Valencia
2-0
Celta Vigo
Gomez (28'), Araujo (60' og.)
Foulquier (64'), Correia (64'), Moriba (90+5')

Galan (45+1'), Mendez (52'), Galhardo (79')
Dec 5, 2021 8pm
gameweek 16
Celta Vigo
1-2
Valencia
Aspas (11')
Beltran (9'), Aspas (12'), Nolito (90+6')
Duro (19'), Gomez (53')
Gomez (36'), Gaya (51')
Feb 20, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 24
Valencia
2-0
Celta Vigo
Vallejo (90+4'), Gameiro (90+8')
Kang-in (56'), Gaya (62')

Nolito (14'), Mina (31'), Tapia (53')
Blanco (64')
Sep 19, 2020 8pm
gameweek 2
Celta Vigo
2-1
Valencia
Aspas (13', 57')
Tapia (25'), Yokuslu (90+2'), Villar (90+7')
Gomez (46')
Esquerdo (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona11100137102730
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Villarreal116322019121
4Osasuna126331716121
5Atletico MadridAtletico11551167920
6Athletic Bilbao115331711618
7Real BetisBetis11533119218
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Sevilla114341215-315
11Celta Vigo114161720-313
12AlavesAlaves124171419-513
13Real Sociedad11335810-212
14GironaGirona113351114-312
15Leganes11254912-311
16Getafe1117389-110
17Espanyol113171019-910
18Las PalmasLas Palmas112361319-69
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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