Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Valencia |
45% ( -0.04) | 27.41% ( -0.05) | 27.59% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 46.87% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.83% ( 0.21) | 58.17% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.18% ( 0.17) | 78.82% ( -0.17) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.23% ( 0.08) | 25.77% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.29% ( 0.11) | 60.71% ( -0.1) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.14% ( 0.19) | 36.86% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.36% ( 0.19) | 73.64% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 12.87% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.99% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.41% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.81% Total : 27.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 10 | 27 | 30 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
4 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 20 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 18 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Sevilla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 15 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 13 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 12 |
14 | GironaGirona | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 12 |
15 | Leganes | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |