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La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 26, 2023 at 1pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Girona logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 3
Girona

Berchiche (35'), Garcia (89')
de Marcos (14'), Alvarez (45'), Garcia (78'), Valverde (78'), Muniain (85'), Paredes (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Garcia (4'), de Marcos (19' og.), Vesga (45+1' og.)
Castellanos (16'), Bueno (28'), Martinez (36'), Romeu (72'), Gazzaniga (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 6-2 Almeria
Friday, February 17 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Girona

Girona deserve a lot of respect for their performance level in La Liga this season, but we are finding it difficult to back the visitors to pick up a positive result here. Michel's team are not strong travellers, while Athletic have been impressive at home this season, so we are backing a victory for Valverde's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 63.78%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Girona had a probability of 14.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawGirona
63.78% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 22.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 14.19% (0.025 0.03)
Both teams to score 43.29% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.05% (0.023999999999994 0.02)52.95% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.45% (0.02 0.02)74.55% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.98% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)16.02% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.65% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)45.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.54% (0.052999999999997 0.05)48.45% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.44% (0.038 0.04)83.56% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 63.77%
    Girona 14.19%
    Draw 22.02%
Athletic BilbaoDrawGirona
1-0 @ 14.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 13.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 7.95% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.64% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.97%
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 63.77%
1-1 @ 10.29%
0-0 @ 7.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.02%
0-1 @ 5.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 3.73% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 0.9% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 14.19%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Girona

Athletic Bilbao
86.5%
Draw
7.9%
Girona
5.6%
89
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2022 8pm
Mar 29, 2019 8pm
Girona
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Stuani (37')
Juanpe (72'), Portu (80')
Williams (53'), Garcia (59')
Capa (39'), Garcia (63'), Martinez (80'), Etxebarria (84')
Dec 10, 2018 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Girona
Aduriz (90' pen.)
Etxebarria (55'), Nunez (78'), Capa (81')

Juanpe (83')
Feb 4, 2018 5.30pm
Girona
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Stuani (7' pen., 65')
Maffeo (46')

Nunez (58')
Sep 10, 2017 3.15pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Girona
Muniain (25'), Aduriz (53')
Benat (21'), Garcia (64'), San Jose (68'), Laporte (91')

Alcala (24'), Granell (27'), Espinosa (40'), Aday (56'), Luiz (80'), Stuani (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


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