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La Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Almeria

Girona
6 - 2
Almeria

Castellanos (8'), Tsygankov (34'), Riquelme (36'), Hernandez (43'), Martin (77'), Stuani (79')
Garcia (59')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Ramazani (66'), Bilal Toure (81')
Suarez Charris (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Girona and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 2-0 Girona
Friday, February 10 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 2-3 Betis
Saturday, February 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Girona 2-1 Almeria

Girona have been strong at home this season, collecting 18 points from 11 matches, and they will be welcoming an Almeria side who have lost seven of their 10 games on their travels. It would not be a surprise to see a draw here, but we just have a feeling that Girona will navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
GironaDrawAlmeria
54.17% (0.425 0.42) 25.19% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 20.63% (-0.388 -0.39)
Both teams to score 46.22% (-0.396 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.48% (-0.252 -0.25)55.52% (0.246 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.3% (-0.204 -0.2)76.7% (0.199 0.2)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5% (0.070999999999998 0.07)20.5% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.02% (0.116 0.12)52.98% (-0.121 -0.12)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.14% (-0.554 -0.55)41.86% (0.549 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.69% (-0.484 -0.48)78.31% (0.48 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Girona 54.16%
    Almeria 20.63%
    Draw 25.19%
GironaDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 13.59% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 10.77% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.69% (0.093 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 54.16%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.58% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.47% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.16% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 20.63%

How you voted: Girona vs Almeria

Girona
72.0%
Draw
16.9%
Almeria
11.0%
118
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2022 6pm
Almeria
3-2
Girona
Baptistao (13'), Bilal Toure (17'), Embarba (38')
Riquelme (47'), Stuani (83' pen.)
Herrera (5')
Mar 27, 2022 8pm
Almeria
0-1
Girona

Ely (45+1'), Pozo (51')
Garcia (13')
Lozano (19'), Bueno (49'), Sanchez (78'), Carlos (80'), Garcia (83'), Espinosa (89')
Garcia (90+1')
Oct 4, 2021 8pm
Girona
1-2
Almeria
Espinosa (62')
Espinosa (40'), Baena (75')
Sadiq (52'), Robertone (68')
Sadiq (34'), Centelles (71'), Robertone (87')
Jun 5, 2021 8pm
Almeria
0-0
Girona

Fernandes (39'), Bunuel (43'), Robertone (52'), Samu (56')

Kebe (67'), Sylla (89')
Jun 2, 2021 8pm
Girona
3-0
Almeria
Joel Barcenas (3'), Couto (5'), Sylla (65')
Juanpe (52'), Franquesa (54')

Balliu (27'), Ramazani (30'), Makaridze (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


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