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La Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Cadiz logo

Athletic Bilbao
4 - 1
Cadiz

Sancet (10', 35', 75'), Alvarez (44')
Berchiche (30')
Berchiche (57')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Escalante (25')
Hernandez (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 2-0 Mallorca
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Cadiz

On paper, Athletic are the favourites in this match, but it is difficult to ignore their recent struggles when picking a result here. Cadiz have drawn two of their last five league matches, and we believe that the visitors will have enough resilience to avoid defeat at San Mames on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 65.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 12.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.76%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawCadiz
65.57% (1.513 1.51) 21.59% (-0.421 -0.42) 12.84% (-1.091 -1.09)
Both teams to score 41.15% (-1.559 -1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.1% (-0.523 -0.52)53.9% (0.523 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64% (-0.44 -0.44)75.35% (0.441 0.44)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.25% (0.325 0.33)15.75% (-0.324 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.14% (0.59500000000001 0.6)44.86% (-0.595 -0.59)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.85% (-2.045 -2.05)51.15% (2.046 2.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.55% (-1.414 -1.41)85.44% (1.415 1.41)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 65.56%
    Cadiz 12.84%
    Draw 21.59%
Athletic BilbaoDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 14.89% (0.47 0.47)
2-0 @ 13.76% (0.58 0.58)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-0 @ 8.48% (0.443 0.44)
3-1 @ 5.68% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.92% (0.245 0.25)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.127 -0.13)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.106 0.11)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 65.56%
1-1 @ 9.98% (-0.278 -0.28)
0-0 @ 8.06% (0.163 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.09% (-0.243 -0.24)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 21.59%
0-1 @ 5.4% (-0.213 -0.21)
1-2 @ 3.35% (-0.303 -0.3)
0-2 @ 1.81% (-0.186 -0.19)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 12.84%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Cadiz

Athletic Bilbao
63.6%
Draw
27.9%
Cadiz
8.6%
140
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2022 7pm
Cadiz
0-4
Athletic Bilbao

Espino (16'), Alejo (60')
Williams (24'), Guruzeta (56', 90+3'), Berenguer (78')
Lekue (39')
Apr 21, 2022 7pm
Cadiz
2-3
Athletic Bilbao
Perez (56'), Sobrino (87')
Lozano (9'), Chust (21'), Cala (63')
Garcia (3'), Muniain (22'), Vesga (33')
Martinez (50'), Vesga (63'), Vivian (69'), Vencedor (90+6')
Vesga (71')
Nov 5, 2021 8pm
Feb 15, 2021 8pm
Cadiz
0-4
Athletic Bilbao

Cala (33'), Fali (47'), Saponjic (90+1')
Berenguer (4', 29'), Lopez (15'), Williams (52')
Nunez (19'), Vesga (70')
Oct 1, 2020 6pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Cadiz

Villalibre (54'), Kodro (79'), Martinez (83')
Lopez (57' og.)
Akapo (18'), Fali (41'), Negredo (63')
Akapo (48'), Negredo (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid37297187266194
2Barcelona37257577433482
3GironaGirona37246778463278
4Atletico MadridAtletico372341068432573
5Athletic Bilbao371811860372365
6Real Sociedad371612951371460
7Real BetisBetis37141494845356
8Villarreal371410136464052
9Valencia37139153843-548
10AlavesAlaves37129163545-1045
11Osasuna37128174455-1144
12Getafe371013144152-1143
13Sevilla371011164752-541
14Celta Vigo371010174455-1140
15Las PalmasLas Palmas37109183246-1439
16Rayo Vallecano37814152947-1838
17Mallorca37716143143-1237
RCadizCadiz37615162549-2433
RGranada3749243872-3421
RAlmeria37212233774-3718


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