Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Elche had a probability of 15.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.