Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 65.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 13.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.64%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.