We said: Barcelona 2-0 Getafe
Barcelona are on a roll at the moment, and we are expecting their winning run to continue this weekend. Lewandowski's absence is a huge blow, but Xavi's side should have too much quality for Getafe, who have lost their last four league games at Camp Nou.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 84.93%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 4.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.58%) and 1-0 (10.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.1%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.