Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Almeria |
45.57% ( 1.05) | 26.29% ( -0.69) | 28.14% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 50.47% ( 1.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.29% ( 2.44) | 53.71% ( -2.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.8% ( 2.02) | 75.19% ( -2.02) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.49% ( 1.58) | 23.51% ( -1.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.45% ( 2.24) | 57.54% ( -2.24) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.99% ( 1.02) | 34.01% ( -1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.31% ( 1.08) | 70.69% ( -1.08) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Almeria |
1-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.58) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.77% Total : 45.56% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 8% ( -0.79) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.25) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.6) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.3% Total : 28.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |