Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 16.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.09%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
16.77% ( -0.06) | 23.5% ( -0.07) | 59.73% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 44.65% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.78% ( 0.15) | 54.22% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.38% ( 0.13) | 75.62% ( -0.12) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.36% ( 0) | 45.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.56% ( 0) | 81.44% ( 0) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.13% ( 0.1) | 17.87% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.35% ( 0.18) | 48.65% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.43% Total : 16.77% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0) Other @ 0.61% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 14.04% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 12.09% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.94% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.99% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 59.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 32 |
7 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |