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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Atletico Madrid logo

Cadiz
3 - 2
Atletico

Bongonda (1'), Fernandez (81'), Sobrino (90+9')
Fede (65'), Chust (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hernandez (85' og.), Felix (89')
Kondogbia (62'), Niguez (78'), Cunha (90'), Felix (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 5-1 Cadiz
Saturday, October 22 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Cadiz 0-2 Atletico Madrid

Cadiz are a very difficult side to back at the moment due to their struggles, and it is perhaps the worst time to play Atletico, who will be desperate to overcome their European disappointment. We are not expecting a game full of goals but believe that the visitors will have more than enough to secure a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 16.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.09%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
CadizDrawAtletico Madrid
16.77% (-0.064 -0.06) 23.5% (-0.067 -0.07) 59.73% (0.135 0.13)
Both teams to score 44.65% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.78% (0.15 0.15)54.22% (-0.14599999999999 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.38% (0.125 0.13)75.62% (-0.121 -0.12)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.36% (0.0019999999999953 0)45.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.56% (0.0019999999999989 0)81.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13% (0.104 0.1)17.87% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.35% (0.177 0.18)48.65% (-0.174 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 16.77%
    Atletico Madrid 59.73%
    Draw 23.5%
CadizDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.4% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-1 @ 4.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.51% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 16.77%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.16% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.72% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 14.04% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 12.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.94% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.44% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.99% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.34% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 59.73%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Atletico

Cadiz
14.3%
Draw
6.1%
Atletico Madrid
79.6%
98
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2022 8pm
Cadiz
1-4
Atletico
Gimenez (87')
Cala (21'), Gil (45+1'), Fali (45+1')
Morata (13'), Niguez (45'), Wass (46'), Griezmann (51')
Griezmann (56')
Mar 11, 2022 8pm
Atletico
2-1
Cadiz
Felix (3'), De Paul (68')
De Paul (30'), Carrasco (35'), Mandava (41'), Simeone (41'), Savic (90+1')
Serrano (88')
Negredo (45')
Sobrino (33')
Nov 28, 2021 5.30pm
Cadiz
1-4
Atletico
Oblak (86' og.)
Fernandez (24'), Jonsson (82')
Lemar (56'), Griezmann (70'), Correa (76'), Cunha (86')
Jan 31, 2021 3.15pm
Cadiz
2-4
Atletico
Negredo (35', 71')
Izquierdo (40')
Suarez (28', 50'), Niguez (44'), Koke (88')
Torreira (38'), Felix (41'), Vrsaljko (73'), Koke (76'), Kondogbia (85')
Nov 7, 2020 8pm
Atletico
4-0
Cadiz
Felix (8', 90'), Llorente (22'), Suarez (51')
Kondogbia (85')

Jonsson (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Rayo Vallecano228862624232
7Mallorca219391926-730
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes225891930-1123
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


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