Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 54.53%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match.