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La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Real Valladolid logo

Cadiz
2 - 0
Valladolid

Bongonda (69', 76' pen.)
Lozano (73'), Bongonda (77'), Fede (86'), Mbaye (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

El Yamiq (33'), Rosa (47'), Mesa (67'), Sanchez (75')
Hongla (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Cadiz
Friday, May 12 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 0-3 Sevilla
Sunday, May 14 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 1-1 Real Valladolid

Cadiz have one of the poorer home records in La Liga this season, but Real Valladolid have struggled on their travels. It is a huge game towards the bottom of the table, but the desire not to lose is likely to be stronger than the desire to win, so a tight match could end with the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 25.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cadiz would win this match.

Result
CadizDrawReal Valladolid
48.82% (0.309 0.31) 25.6% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 25.57% (-0.23 -0.23)
Both teams to score 50.54% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.33% (0.13800000000001 0.14)52.67% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.69% (0.119 0.12)74.31% (-0.119 -0.12)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (0.191 0.19)21.59% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.31% (0.292 0.29)54.68% (-0.293 -0.29)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.45% (-0.119 -0.12)35.54% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69% (-0.124 -0.12)72.31% (0.124 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 48.81%
    Real Valladolid 25.57%
    Draw 25.6%
CadizDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.61% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 48.81%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.67% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 7.94% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 25.57%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Valladolid

Cadiz
56.6%
Draw
25.0%
Real Valladolid
18.4%
76
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2022 8pm
gameweek 6
Valladolid
0-1
Cadiz

Monchu (18')
Negredo (90+2')
Apr 24, 2021 3.15pm
gameweek 32
Valladolid
1-1
Cadiz
Plano (14')
Alcaraz (81')
Cala (64')
Espino (27'), Fali (60'), Alejo (83')
Dec 29, 2020 8.30pm
gameweek 16
Cadiz
0-0
Valladolid

Fali (26'), Alejo (27'), Lozano (33')

Mesa (6'), El Yamiq (45')
Apr 28, 2018 3pm
Valladolid
1-1
Cadiz
Martinez (59')
Luismi (43'), Michel (64'), Plano (90')
Servando (90')
Olivan (54'), Ander Garrido (63')
Nov 25, 2017 3pm
Cadiz
1-0
Valladolid
Alex (6')
Mauro (41'), Ander Garrido (77'), Bijker (80')

Borja (21'), Masip (85')
Luismi (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves134181422-813
17Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179
20Valencia11146817-97


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