We said: Real Valladolid 2-1 Cadiz
Cadiz desperately need to end their losing run, but we are finding it difficult to back them here. The Yellow Submarine should be able to score their first goal of the season on Friday, but we are expecting Real Valladolid to put an important three points on the board in front of their own supporters.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 55.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.