We said: Celta Vigo 2-0 Cadiz
Celta have made an encouraging start to the season, but it has been a struggle for Cadiz, who could find themselves in a relegation battle this term. The home side have a lot of quality in forward areas, and we are expecting them to make it back-to-back victories in Spain's top flight with a comfortable success.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.