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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Rayo Vallecano logo

Sevilla
0 - 1
Rayo Vallecano


Isco (68'), Bono (76'), Dmitrovic (78'), Suso (79'), Sampaoli (81'), Navas (86'), Marcao (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Garcia (61')
Catena (63'), Iraola (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 Copenhagen
Tuesday, October 25 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 5-1 Cadiz
Saturday, October 22 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 2-1 Rayo Vallecano

This has the potential to be a very difficult match for Sevilla, and it would certainly not be a surprise to see Rayo pick up a positive result here. Sevilla will have home advantage, though, and we are backing Sampaoli's side to secure an important three points in Spain's top flight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 19.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawRayo Vallecano
56.39% (-0.125 -0.13) 23.75% (0.044 0.04) 19.87% (0.078999999999997 0.08)
Both teams to score 49.24% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)50.93% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.2% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)72.8% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)17.88% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.33% (-0.126 -0.13)48.66% (0.123 0.12)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.96% (0.042000000000002 0.04)40.04% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.31% (0.039000000000001 0.04)76.68% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 56.38%
    Rayo Vallecano 19.87%
    Draw 23.74%
SevillaDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 12.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.62% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 56.38%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 23.74%
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.16% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 3% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.58% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 19.87%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano

Sevilla
74.7%
Draw
17.3%
Rayo Vallecano
8.0%
75
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 1pm
Aug 15, 2021 9.15pm
Sevilla
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
En-Nesyri (19' pen.), Lamela (55', 79')
Idrissi (45+5')

Zidane (16')
Apr 25, 2019 6.30pm
Sevilla
5-0
Rayo Vallecano
Promes (55'), El Haddadi (57', 62'), Ben Yedder (69'), Gil (86')
Banega (31')

Galvez (33'), Angel Pozo (52')
Aug 19, 2018 7.15pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-4
Sevilla
Embarba (85' pen.)
Angel Pozo (12')
Vazquez (15'), Silva (31', 45', 79')
Feb 21, 2016 11am
Rayo Vallecano
2-2
Sevilla
Manucho (43'), Miku (62')
Baena (16'), Sanchez (44'), Miku (58'), Embarba (64'), Llorente (75'), Hernandez (93')
Nzonzi (10'), Iborra (20')
Coke (59'), Banega (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


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