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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Celta Vigo logo

Valladolid
4 - 1
Celta Vigo

Mesa (32'), Fernandez (62'), Leon (74', 79')
Masip (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Oscar (43')
Oscar (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Espanyol 1-0 Valladolid
Sunday, October 16 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Sociedad
Sunday, October 16 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Real Valladolid 1-1 Celta Vigo

Real Valladolid need a reaction here after a disappointing defeat last time out, and should be able to use their home advantage to force a few good opportunities to go on and win the game. Celta Vigo, however, are a competitive side, and need points of their own. They should have enough to nick at least a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 22.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawCelta Vigo
52.6% (0.0030000000000001 0) 25.23% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 22.17% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.06% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.88% (0.042999999999999 0.04)54.12% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.46% (0.036999999999999 0.04)75.54% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.42% (0.019000000000005 0.02)20.58% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)53.11% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.52% (0.032000000000004 0.03)39.48% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.83% (0.029 0.03)76.17% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 52.59%
    Celta Vigo 22.17%
    Draw 25.23%
Real ValladolidDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.35%
3-1 @ 4.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 52.59%
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 22.17%

How you voted: Valladolid vs Celta Vigo

Real Valladolid
32.5%
Draw
33.7%
Celta Vigo
33.7%
83
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2021 1pm
Celta Vigo
1-1
Real Valladolid
Murillo (90+4')
Tapia (34'), Aidoo (90+3'), Ferreyra (90+5')
Orellana (70')
Weissman (4'), Guardiola (40'), Olaza (58'), Fernandez (90'), El Yamiq (90+1')
Sep 27, 2020 5.30pm
Real Valladolid
1-1
Celta Vigo
Guardiola (66' pen.)
Guardiola (61'), Bruno (80'), Sanchez (86')
Aspas (44')
Mor (25'), Beltran (41'), Mallo (65'), Aspas (90+2')
Nov 29, 2019 8pm
Jan 27, 2019 11am
Real Valladolid
2-1
Celta Vigo
Plano (55'), Keko (69')
Toni (60'), Michel (90')
Sisto (16')
Mallo (40'), Hoedt (41'), Boufal (52'), Junca (89')
Hoedt (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves134181422-813
17Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179
20Valencia11146817-97


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