Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 22.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
52.6% ( 0) | 25.23% ( -0.01) | 22.17% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.06% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.88% ( 0.04) | 54.12% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.46% ( 0.04) | 75.54% ( -0.03) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.42% ( 0.02) | 20.58% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.89% ( 0.03) | 53.11% ( -0.03) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.52% ( 0.03) | 39.48% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.83% ( 0.03) | 76.17% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 12.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.35% 3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 52.59% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 1.4% Total : 22.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 10 | 27 | 30 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
4 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 20 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 18 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
11 | Sevilla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 13 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
14 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 12 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |