Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 47.2%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.