Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 43.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 27.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 1-2 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Real Sociedad |
27.81% ( 1.33) | 28.31% ( 0.2) | 43.88% ( -1.53) |
Both teams to score 44.6% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.88% ( -0.03) | 61.12% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.91% ( -0.02) | 81.08% ( 0.02) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.7% ( 1.11) | 38.3% ( -1.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.94% ( 1.05) | 75.05% ( -1.05) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.28% ( -0.81) | 27.71% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.72% ( -1.05) | 63.28% ( 1.05) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.6% Total : 27.8% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 13.61% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.74% Total : 43.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 44 |
2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 25 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Getafe | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
16 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
18 | Espanyol | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 19 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |