Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Real Sociedad |
21.15% (![]() | 24.69% (![]() | 54.16% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.31% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.88% (![]() | 53.12% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.3% (![]() | 74.7% (![]() |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.05% (![]() | 39.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.4% (![]() | 76.6% (![]() |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.44% | 19.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.53% (![]() | 51.47% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 7.17% 2-1 @ 5.37% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.33% Total : 21.15% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 7.81% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 12.74% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 9.55% 0-3 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 5.19% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-4 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 2.12% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.84% Total : 54.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 27 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 75 | 27 | 48 | 60 |
2 | Real Madrid | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 60 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 52 |
5 | Villarreal | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 44 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 44 |
7 | Mallorca | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 40 |
8 | Celta Vigo | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 39 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 37 |
10 | Getafe | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 36 |
11 | Sevilla | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 36 |
12 | Real Sociedad | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 35 |
13 | GironaGirona | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 34 |
14 | Osasuna | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 33 |
15 | Espanyol | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 28 |
16 | Valencia | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 28 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 27 |
18 | Leganes | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 27 |
19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 25 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 28 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 63 | -45 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |