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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Elche

Girona
2 - 0
Elche

Castellanos (45'), Romeu (70')
Castellanos (17'), Bueno (42'), Romeu (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Milla (22'), Boye (57'), Gumbau (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Girona and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 0-0 Girona
Monday, April 10 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-1 Elche
Saturday, April 8 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Girona 2-0 Elche

Following Monday's performance at Camp Nou, we expect in-form Girona to make light work of struggling Elche, with the hosts preventing the visitors from finding the back of the net. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Elche had a probability of 14.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.69%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Girona in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Girona.

Result
GironaDrawElche
62.76% (0.155 0.16) 22.33% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 14.91% (-0.203 -0.2)
Both teams to score 44.08% (-0.582 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.18% (-0.532 -0.53)52.82% (0.531 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (-0.456 -0.46)74.44% (0.456 0.46)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.68% (-0.131 -0.13)16.31% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.1% (-0.236 -0.24)45.9% (0.23500000000001 0.24)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.67% (-0.612 -0.61)47.32% (0.611 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.27% (-0.461 -0.46)82.73% (0.459 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Girona 62.76%
    Elche 14.91%
    Draw 22.33%
GironaDrawElche
1-0 @ 13.99% (0.23 0.23)
2-0 @ 12.69% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 7.67% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.74% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.48% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 62.76%
1-1 @ 10.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.161 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.55% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 22.33%
0-1 @ 5.78% (0.021 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.92% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.16% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 0.98% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 14.91%

How you voted: Girona vs Elche

Girona
Draw
Elche
Girona
90.9%
Draw
6.1%
Elche
3.0%
33
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 6pm
Aug 23, 2020 9pm
Girona
0-1
Elche

Granell (85')
Stuani (61')
Milla (90+6')
de Jesus (22'), Sanchez (41'), Rodriguez (84'), Milla (85')
Aug 20, 2020 9pm
Jun 19, 2020 6.30pm
Elche
1-0
Girona
Escriche (47')
Badia (52'), Gil (57'), Lopez (69')

Juanpe (25'), Benitez (42'), Stuani (64'), Zeballos (78'), Saiz (90+3')
Oct 12, 2019 11am
Girona
0-2
Elche

Gumbau (39'), Soriano (83'), Benitez (84'), Saiz (94')
Sanchez (5'), Ortiz (76')
Ortiz (25'), Calvo (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona27193575274860
2Real Madrid28186459273260
3Atletico MadridAtletico28168446222456
4Athletic Bilbao281410446242252
5Villarreal27128749381144
6Real BetisBetis2812883835344
7Mallorca28117102834-640
8Celta Vigo28116114141039
9Rayo Vallecano2891093131037
10Getafe2899102523236
11Sevilla2899103237-536
12Real Sociedad28105132530-535
13GironaGirona2897123641-534
14Osasuna2771283339-633
15Espanyol2777132639-1328
16Valencia28610123146-1528
17AlavesAlaves2869133242-1027
18Leganes2869132643-1727
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2867153247-1525
20Real ValladolidValladolid2844201863-4516


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