Girona0 - 1Atletico
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, March 4 at 1pm in La Liga
Saturday, March 4 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Girona 1-2 Atletico Madrid
This has the potential to be a very tricky match for Atletico due to Girona's home record this season, but the Red and Whites are in impressive form at the moment and will fancy their chances of claiming another three points on Monday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Girona had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
31.82% ( 0.68) | 26.6% ( 0.36) | 41.58% ( -1.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.37% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.58% ( -1.24) | 53.42% ( 1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.05% ( -1.06) | 74.95% ( 1.05) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.82% ( -0.16) | 31.17% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.49% ( -0.19) | 67.51% ( 0.18) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.64% ( -1.08) | 25.36% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.85% ( -1.51) | 60.15% ( 1.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.82% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.41% Total : 41.58% |
