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La Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Atletico Madrid logo

Girona
0 - 1
Atletico


Stuani (90+11'), Gazzaniga (90+12')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morata (90+1')
Llorente (57'), Savic (66'), De Paul (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Girona and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 3-2 Girona
Saturday, March 4 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 6-1 Sevilla
Saturday, March 4 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Girona 1-2 Atletico Madrid

This has the potential to be a very tricky match for Atletico due to Girona's home record this season, but the Red and Whites are in impressive form at the moment and will fancy their chances of claiming another three points on Monday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Girona had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
GironaDrawAtletico Madrid
31.82% (0.676 0.68) 26.6% (0.361 0.36) 41.58% (-1.042 -1.04)
Both teams to score 51.37% (-0.868 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.58% (-1.235 -1.24)53.42% (1.232 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.05% (-1.057 -1.06)74.95% (1.053 1.05)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.82% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)31.17% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49% (-0.186 -0.19)67.51% (0.182 0.18)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (-1.084 -1.08)25.36% (1.082 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85% (-1.511 -1.51)60.15% (1.507 1.51)
Score Analysis
    Girona 31.82%
    Atletico Madrid 41.58%
    Draw 26.59%
GironaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.399 0.4)
2-1 @ 7.37% (0.063 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.37% (0.21 0.21)
3-1 @ 2.86% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 31.82%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.376 0.38)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 10.84% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-2 @ 7.44% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.202 -0.2)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 41.58%

How you voted: Girona vs Atletico

Girona
12.0%
Draw
14.8%
Atletico Madrid
73.1%
216
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3.15pm
Apr 2, 2019 6.30pm
Jan 16, 2019 6.30pm
Round of 16
Atletico
3-3
Girona
Kalinic (12'), Correa (66'), Griezmann (84')
Hernandez (69'), Griezmann (85')
Fernandez (37'), Stuani (59'), Doumbia (88')
Iraizoz (90'), Porro (90')
Jan 9, 2019 6.30pm
Round of 16
Girona
1-1
Atletico
Lozano (34')
Griezmann (9')
Montero (27'), Godin (67')
Dec 2, 2018 3.15pm
Girona
1-1
Atletico
Stuani (45' pen.)
Ramalho (82' og.)
Griezmann (17'), Koke (41'), Partey (72'), Costa (89'), Niguez (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid19134243192443
2Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona197472725225
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196752123-225
11Osasuna186752327-425
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
15Leganes194781829-1119
16AlavesAlaves194592131-1017
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1944111731-1416
19Valencia1927101829-1113
20Real ValladolidValladolid1933121337-2412


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