Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 52.25%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 22.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Espanyol |
52.25% ( 0.15) | 24.97% ( -0.03) | 22.77% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 49.53% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.44% ( -0.01) | 52.56% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.78% ( -0.01) | 74.22% ( 0.01) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.9% ( 0.06) | 20.1% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.65% ( 0.09) | 52.35% ( -0.09) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.98% ( -0.12) | 38.01% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.22% ( -0.12) | 74.78% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 52.24% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 22.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 25 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 19 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |