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La Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 18, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Girona logo

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 2
Girona

Isi (23'), Trejo (34')
Catena (7'), Hernandez (18')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Tsygankov (29', 52')
Martinez (37'), Lopez (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, March 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 0-1 Atletico
Monday, March 13 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Girona

Rayo are certainly due a victory, having gone five matches without a success in Spain's top flight, and we are backing that success to arrive this weekend. Girona have lost seven of their 12 away league games this term and that could become eight defeats from 13 on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Girona had a probability of 25.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawGirona
48.79% (0.112 0.11) 25.83% (-0.07 -0.07) 25.38% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.71% (0.177 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.33% (0.247 0.25)53.67% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.84% (0.207 0.21)75.16% (-0.203 -0.2)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98% (0.154 0.15)22.02% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.66% (0.229 0.23)55.34% (-0.225 -0.23)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.75% (0.103 0.1)36.25% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.96% (0.102 0.1)73.04% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 48.79%
    Girona 25.39%
    Draw 25.82%
Rayo VallecanoDrawGirona
1-0 @ 12.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.14% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.68% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.61% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 48.79%
1-1 @ 12.25% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 25.39%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Girona

Rayo Vallecano
65.5%
Draw
27.6%
Girona
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 4pm
Girona
2-2
Rayo Vallecano
Castellanos (34' pen.), Saiz (75' pen.)
Martinez (13')
Camello (2'), Isi (62')
Jan 15, 2022 5.30pm
Round of 16
Girona
1-2
Rayo Vallecano
Espinosa (26')
Juanpe (18'), Martinez (79'), Moreno (90+7')
Martinez (90+8')
Guardiola (45+1', 48')
Suarez (26'), Catena (26'), Valentin (69'), Isi (90+4'), Comesana (90+6'), Trejo (90+7')
Jun 20, 2021 8pm
Girona
0-2
Rayo Vallecano

Joel Barcenas (31'), Juanpe (85')
Garcia (7'), Trejo (45+1')
Velazquez (40'), Trejo (76'), Catena (90+6')
Velazquez (56')
Jun 13, 2021 8pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Girona
Isi (6')
Trejo (52'), Bebe (90+8')
Franquesa (41'), Sylla (46')
Saiz (45+3'), Cristoforo (60'), Carlos (69'), Martinez (77')
Apr 10, 2021 5.15pm
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Girona
Comesana (38'), Isi (75')
Comesana (16'), Trejo (24'), Saveljich (35'), Advincula (78')
Bueno (36')
Couto (48'), Stuani (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid37297187266194
2Barcelona37257577433482
3GironaGirona37246778463278
4Atletico MadridAtletico372341068432573
5Athletic Bilbao371811860372365
6Real Sociedad371612951371460
7Real BetisBetis37141494845356
8Villarreal371410136464052
9Valencia37139153843-548
10AlavesAlaves37129163545-1045
11Osasuna37128174455-1144
12Getafe371013144152-1143
13Sevilla371011164752-541
14Celta Vigo371010174455-1140
15Las PalmasLas Palmas37109183246-1439
16Rayo Vallecano37814152947-1838
17Mallorca37716143143-1237
18CadizCadiz37615162549-2433
RGranada3749243872-3421
RAlmeria37212233774-3718


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