Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Las Palmas | Draw | Girona |
36.39% ( 0.02) | 25.36% ( 0.01) | 38.24% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.45% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.66% ( -0.02) | 47.33% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.44% ( -0.02) | 69.55% ( 0.02) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.62% ( -0) | 25.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.83% ( -0) | 60.17% |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.64% ( -0.02) | 24.36% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.23% ( -0.03) | 58.76% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Las Palmas | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.73% Total : 36.39% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 38.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |