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Las Palmas
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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 20, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Las Palmas

Celta Vigo
4 - 1
Las Palmas

Aspas (37', 76'), Swedberg (39'), Douvikas (71')
Strand Larsen (66')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Herzog (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 2-1 Celta Vigo
Friday, April 12 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-2 Sevilla
Sunday, April 14 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Las Palmas

There has only been one draw in the last six La Liga meetings between these two sides, but we can see the points being shared this weekend. Celta have been poor at home this term, but Las Palmas are not particularly strong on their travels, and we are predicting a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 49.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawLas Palmas
49.5% (0.346 0.35) 25.78% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 24.72% (-0.343 -0.34)
Both teams to score 49.24% (-0.309 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.02% (-0.246 -0.25)53.97% (0.243 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.58% (-0.207 -0.21)75.42% (0.205 0.2)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (0.048000000000002 0.05)21.83% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.94% (0.076999999999998 0.08)55.05% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.99% (-0.437 -0.44)37% (0.434 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.21% (-0.436 -0.44)73.79% (0.432 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 49.5%
    Las Palmas 24.72%
    Draw 25.78%
Celta VigoDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 12.29% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 9.36% (0.117 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 49.5%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.08% (0.077 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.03% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.08% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 24.72%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Las Palmas

Celta Vigo
54.3%
Draw
34.3%
Las Palmas
11.4%
35
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Las Palmas
2-1
Celta Vigo
Viera (84' pen.), Cardona (90+7')
Marmol (74'), Cardona (90+8')
Douvikas (67')
Starfelt (83')
Mar 5, 2018 8pm
Oct 16, 2017 8pm
Las Palmas
2-5
Celta Vigo
Vitolo (90'), Remy (90')
Bigas (51'), Aquilani (61')
Mor (16'), Aspas (20', 49', 76'), Hernandez (71')
Jozabed (27')
Blanco (52')
Apr 3, 2017 7.45pm
Celta Vigo
3-1
Las Palmas
Rossi (13', 36', 57')
Roncaglia (24'), Jonny (45')
Bigas (80')
Bigas (17'), Rodriguez (52')
Oct 30, 2016 7.45pm
Las Palmas
3-3
Celta Vigo
Bigas (52'), Viera (66' pen.), Boateng (68')
Boateng (50'), Momo (88')
Wass (6'), Aspas (14', 21')
Mallo (11'), Radoja (27'), Gomez (40'), Aspas (43'), Pedro Hernandez (60'), Wass (74'), Diaz (90')
Gomez (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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