La Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio de Gran Canaria
Las Palmas1 - 1Mallorca
We said: Las Palmas 1-2 Mallorca
Las Palmas will know the importance of their home form this season, but this is a tough opener against a very impressive Mallorca outfit. The visitors have quality across the pitch, and we are backing Mallorca to open their campaign with a narrow success on Saturday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 52.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Mallorca |
52.28% ( -0.26) | 25.87% ( 0.09) | 21.85% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 45.91% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.25% ( -0.18) | 56.75% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.3% ( -0.14) | 77.7% ( 0.14) |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.22% ( -0.19) | 21.78% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.02% ( -0.28) | 54.98% ( 0.28) |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.7% ( 0.07) | 41.3% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.18% ( 0.06) | 77.82% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Las Palmas 52.27%
Mallorca 21.85%
Draw 25.87%
| Las Palmas | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 13.71% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.99% Total : 52.27% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0)Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.19% Total : 21.85% |
How you voted: Las Palmas vs Mallorca
Las Palmas
25.0%Draw
5.6%Mallorca
69.4%36
Form Guide
