Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 35.69%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.01%) and 1-2 (7%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (13.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Valencia |
33.77% ( -0.19) | 30.54% ( 0.37) | 35.69% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 40.71% ( -0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
33.22% ( -1.12) | 66.78% ( 1.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.88% ( -0.77) | 85.11% ( 0.76) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.14% ( -0.75) | 36.86% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.35% ( -0.75) | 73.65% ( 0.75) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.47% ( -0.73) | 35.53% ( 0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.7% ( -0.77) | 72.29% ( 0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 13.07% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.85% Total : 33.77% | 1-1 @ 13.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.53% | 0-1 @ 13.55% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.09% Total : 35.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |