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La Liga | Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
Rayo Vallecano logo

Mallorca
3 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Muriqi (51'), Copete (71'), Rodriguez (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Mallorca
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Villarreal
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Mallorca 2-1 Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano may have more to fight for than Mallorca on the final day as they seek to upset the Europa Conference League apple cart, but unless Iraola can fix his side's away-day misfortunes overnight, the visitors are destined to fall short. Aguirre's side have also made up for shortcomings on the road with dominant showings on their own patch, and we are backing such a trend to continue, allowing Mallorca to jump up the rankings on the final day while dashing Vallecano's dreams of continental football. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.

Result
MallorcaDrawRayo Vallecano
39.03% (-1.811 -1.81) 29.24% (0.78 0.78) 31.73% (1.034 1.03)
Both teams to score 43.76% (-1.784 -1.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.04% (-2.354 -2.35)62.96% (2.356 2.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.56% (-1.74 -1.74)82.44% (1.742 1.74)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.63% (-2.235 -2.24)31.37% (2.237 2.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.26% (-2.673 -2.67)67.74% (2.675 2.68)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.76% (-0.50299999999999 -0.5)36.24% (0.506 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.97% (-0.515 -0.51)73.03% (0.517 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Mallorca 39.03%
    Rayo Vallecano 31.72%
    Draw 29.22%
MallorcaDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 13.18% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.393 -0.39)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.277 -0.28)
3-1 @ 3% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-0 @ 2.95% (-0.302 -0.3)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.202 -0.2)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 39.03%
1-1 @ 13.37% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 11.36% (0.95 0.95)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.257 -0.26)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.22%
0-1 @ 11.53% (0.82 0.82)
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.86% (0.343 0.34)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 31.72%

How you voted: Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano

Mallorca
51.1%
Draw
26.7%
Rayo Vallecano
22.2%
45
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 6.30pm
gameweek 3
Rayo Vallecano
0-2
Mallorca

Valentin (66')
Muriqi (13'), Kang-in (64')
Grenier (62'), Sanchez (73'), Copete (79')
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
gameweek 37
Mallorca
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
Muriqi (13'), Prats (90+2')
Muriqi (45')
Ciss (60')
Feb 2, 2022 7pm
Quarter-Finals
Rayo Vallecano
1-0
Mallorca
Trejo (44' pen.)
Comesana (28'), Valentin (72'), Trejo (78'), Ciss (90+7'), Dimitrievski (90+8'), Balliu (90+9')

Ruiz de Galarreta (33'), Sanchez (51'), Russo (84'), Maffeo (90+1'), Valjent (90+1')
Nov 22, 2021 8pm
gameweek 14
Rayo Vallecano
3-1
Mallorca
Guardiola (16'), Garcia (20'), Trejo (63' pen.)
Valentin (47'), Guardiola (57'), Trejo (65')
Prats (89')
Kang-in (28'), Olivan (57')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
gameweek 22
Rayo Vallecano
1-3
Mallorca
Advincula (41')
Advincula (18'), Isi (29'), Suarez (38')
Ndiaye (3'), Prats (13'), Sevilla (19')
Russo (42'), Ruiz de Galarreta (71'), Rodriguez (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


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