Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 24.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.48%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Villarreal |
24.17% ( 0.08) | 25.53% ( -0.19) | 50.29% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 49.43% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.54% ( 0.77) | 53.46% ( -0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.01% ( 0.64) | 74.98% ( -0.65) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.78% ( 0.5) | 37.21% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26% ( 0.49) | 74% ( -0.49) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.72% ( 0.36) | 21.28% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.79% ( 0.55) | 54.2% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.17% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 9.48% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.39% Total : 50.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |