Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mallorca in this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Real Valladolid |
36.55% ( 0.04) | 27.71% ( -0.01) | 35.74% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.69% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.85% ( 0.06) | 57.15% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.99% ( 0.04) | 78.01% ( -0.05) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.03% ( 0.06) | 29.97% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.92% ( 0.07) | 66.08% ( -0.07) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.52% ( 0.01) | 30.48% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.31% ( 0.01) | 66.69% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 11% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |