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La Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Sevilla logo

Osasuna
2 - 1
Sevilla

Avila (9'), Oroz (74' pen.)
Garcia (34'), Garcia (50'), Avila (68'), Herrera (90+2'), Gomez (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mir (11')
Papu (72'), Rakitic (82'), Fernando (83'), Lopetegui (87'), Romero (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-2 Osasuna
Sunday, July 31 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Leicester 1-0 Sevilla
Sunday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Osasuna 1-1 Sevilla

On paper, Sevilla will be the favourites, but Osasuna are a team to be taken extremely seriously at this level of football, and we are finding it difficult to separate the two sides here. Opening-night matches are often cagey affairs, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw at Estadio El Sadar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 44.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 27.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawSevilla
44.74% (0.249 0.25) 28.2% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 27.06% (-0.273 -0.27)
Both teams to score 44.41% (-0.221 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.87% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)61.12% (0.193 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.91% (-0.145 -0.15)81.09% (0.142 0.14)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.73% (0.039000000000001 0.04)27.27% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.3% (0.049999999999997 0.05)62.7% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.06% (-0.341 -0.34)38.93% (0.337 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.34% (-0.321 -0.32)75.66% (0.318 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 44.73%
    Sevilla 27.05%
    Draw 28.2%
OsasunaDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 13.79% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.96% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 3.88% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 44.73%
1-1 @ 13.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.61% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.2%
0-1 @ 10.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.72% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 27.05%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Sevilla

Osasuna
12.9%
Draw
16.1%
Sevilla
71.0%
255
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 8pm
Oct 30, 2021 3.15pm
Sevilla
2-0
Osasuna
Carlos (40'), Ocampos (60')
Jordan (61'), Bono (89')

Areso (54'), Budimir (70')
Feb 22, 2021 8pm
Osasuna
0-2
Sevilla

Vidal (76'), Torro (88')
Carlos (19'), De Jong (49')
El Haddadi (67'), Jordan (83')
Nov 7, 2020 5.30pm
Sevilla
1-0
Osasuna
Ocampos (59' pen.)
Rakitic (77'), Fernando (87')

Garcia (38'), Sanjurjo (80'), Garcia (90+1')
Mar 1, 2020 11am
Sevilla
3-2
Osasuna
En-Nesyri (13', 90'), Ocampos (45')
Fernando (15'), Torres (84')
Hernandez (64'), Torres (74' pen.)
Gallego (76'), Brasanac (85')
Herrera (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Rayo Vallecano228862624232
7Mallorca219391926-730
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes225891930-1123
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


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