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La Liga | Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
Sevilla logo

Atletico
1 - 1
Sevilla

Gimenez (30')
Hermoso (45'), Kondogbia (79'), Koke (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
En-Nesyri (85')
Montiel (41'), Gudelj (72'), En-Nesyri (86'), Mir (88'), Lopetegui (88'), Acuna (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Sevilla

Sevilla only need a point on Sunday to ensure that they claim a top-four spot, and we are expecting the visitors to pick up the result that they require. Lopetegui's side have only lost three times on their travels this season, sharing the points on nine occasions, and we are backing a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 22.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawSevilla
51.47% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 26.08% (0.041 0.04) 22.44% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 46.03% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.04% (-0.121 -0.12)56.96% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.14% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)77.86% (0.094000000000008 0.09)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.78% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)22.22% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.36% (-0.128 -0.13)55.63% (0.125 0.13)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.18% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)40.82% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)77.39% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 51.47%
    Sevilla 22.44%
    Draw 26.08%
Atletico MadridDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 13.64% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.26%
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.15% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 51.47%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.07% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 22.44%

How you voted: Atletico vs Sevilla

Atletico Madrid
Draw
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
62.8%
Draw
26.9%
Sevilla
10.3%
78
Head to Head
Dec 18, 2021 8pm
Sevilla
2-1
Atletico
Rakitic (7'), Ocampos (88')
Rekik (66'), Papu (68'), Montiel (69')
Felipe (33')
Cunha (90+6')
Apr 4, 2021 8pm
Sevilla
1-0
Atletico
Acuna (70')
Carlos (10'), Acuna (56')

Felipe (5'), Suarez (56'), Llorente (79'), Kondogbia (86')
Jan 12, 2021 8.30pm
Atletico
2-0
Sevilla
Correa (17'), Niguez (76')
Koke (48'), Savic (57')

Lopetegui (82')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Atletico
2-2
Sevilla
Morata (32' pen.), Felix (36')
Felix (73'), Trippier (77')
De Jong (19'), Ocampos (43' pen.)
Carlos (31'), Kounde (31'), Navas (43'), Banega (45+1'), Gudelj (56')
Nov 2, 2019 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona27193575274860
2Real Madrid28186459273260
3Atletico MadridAtletico28168446222456
4Athletic Bilbao281410446242252
5Villarreal27128749381144
6Real BetisBetis2812883835344
7Mallorca28117102834-640
8Celta Vigo28116114141039
9Rayo Vallecano2891093131037
10Getafe2899102523236
11Sevilla2899103237-536
12Real Sociedad28105132530-535
13GironaGirona2897123641-534
14Osasuna2771283339-633
15Espanyol2777132639-1328
16Valencia28610123146-1528
17AlavesAlaves2869133242-1027
18Leganes2869132643-1727
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2867153247-1525
20Real ValladolidValladolid2844201863-4516


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