Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 42.87%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 28.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Osasuna |
42.87% ( 0.04) | 28.77% | 28.36% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 43.68% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.58% ( -0.01) | 62.42% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.96% ( -0.01) | 82.04% ( 0.01) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.11% ( 0.02) | 28.89% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.24% ( 0.02) | 64.76% ( -0.02) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.43% ( -0.04) | 38.57% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.69% ( -0.03) | 75.32% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 13.83% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 42.86% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.77% | 0-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 1.57% Total : 28.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |