Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 46.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 26.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Osasuna |
46.84% ( 0.04) | 26.84% ( -0.01) | 26.31% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.57% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.17% ( 0.02) | 56.84% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.24% ( 0.02) | 77.76% ( -0.02) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.74% ( 0.03) | 24.27% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.37% ( 0.04) | 58.63% ( -0.04) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.81% ( -0.02) | 37.19% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.02% ( -0.02) | 73.98% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 12.78% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 46.84% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 26.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 16 | 27 | 34 |
2 | Real Madrid | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 33 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 26 |
5 | Villarreal | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Mallorca | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
8 | GironaGirona | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
11 | Sevilla | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 15 |
15 | Leganes | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 14 |
17 | Getafe | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 13 |
18 | Espanyol | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |