Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45.47%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 26.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
45.47% ( 0.41) | 28.11% ( 0.05) | 26.42% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 44.25% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.87% ( -0.39) | 61.12% ( 0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.91% ( -0.29) | 81.08% ( 0.29) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.11% ( 0.03) | 26.89% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.79% ( 0.03) | 62.2% ( -0.03) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.52% ( -0.61) | 39.48% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.83% ( -0.57) | 76.17% ( 0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 13.94% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 45.47% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.09% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.44% Total : 26.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |