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La Liga | Gameweek 37
May 28, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Villarreal logo

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Villarreal

de Tomas (56'), Isi (63')
Valentin (65'), de Tomas (68'), Catena (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lo Celso (83')
Parejo (40'), Pedraza (59'), Lo Celso (70'), Jackson (90+4'), Jackson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, May 24 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 2-0 Cadiz
Wednesday, May 24 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-3 Villarreal

Villarreal travel to Vallecas off the back of three consecutive victories, and we think they will continue their winning run against a Rayo side that have lost their last three games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawVillarreal
34.26% (-1.388 -1.39) 24.7% (0.071000000000002 0.07) 41.04% (1.316 1.32)
Both teams to score 58.43% (-0.543 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.37% (-0.588 -0.59)44.63% (0.588 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.01% (-0.57 -0.57)66.99% (0.56999999999999 0.57)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67% (-1.064 -1.06)25.33% (1.063 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.89% (-1.483 -1.48)60.11% (1.484 1.48)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (0.38200000000001 0.38)21.75% (-0.381 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.07% (0.582 0.58)54.94% (-0.581 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 34.26%
    Villarreal 41.04%
    Draw 24.7%
Rayo VallecanoDrawVillarreal
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.197 -0.2)
1-0 @ 7.57% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.2% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.38% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 34.26%
1-1 @ 11.54% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.51% (0.138 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 8.8% (0.154 0.15)
0-1 @ 8.4% (0.305 0.31)
0-2 @ 6.41% (0.304 0.3)
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.129 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.26% (0.19 0.19)
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.71% (0.068 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.086 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 41.04%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal

Rayo Vallecano
11.5%
Draw
11.5%
Villarreal
76.9%
26
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2023 8pm
gameweek 19
Villarreal
0-1
Rayo Vallecano

Foyth (66'), Baena (90+5')
Camello (70')
Ciss (35'), Martin (52'), Lopez (87')
May 12, 2022 7pm
gameweek 36
Rayo Vallecano
1-5
Villarreal
Guardiola (21')
Maras (30'), Garcia (45+2'), Comesana (45+2'), Lopez (76'), Sylla (77')
Pedraza (3', 88'), Foyth (27'), Alcacer (38'), Torres (45+1')
Emery (61'), Rulli (61'), Albiol (82')
Dec 12, 2021 1pm
gameweek 17
Villarreal
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Mandi (32'), Moreno (36' pen.)
Torres (23')

Catena (37'), Isi (38'), Garcia (61')
Jan 29, 2020 6pm
Round of 16
Rayo Vallecano
0-2
Villarreal

Milic (28')
Nino (84'), Cazorla (85')
Funes Mori (25'), Cazorla (80')
Mar 17, 2019 5.30pm
gameweek 28
Villarreal
3-1
Rayo Vallecano
Toko Ekambi (50', 52'), Moreno (88')
Funes Mori (44'), Ruiz (79')
Suarez (20')
Velazquez (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico19135134122244
2Real Madrid19134243192443
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona197472725225
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196752123-225
11Osasuna196762328-525
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas196492429-522
15Getafe194781316-319
16Leganes194781829-1119
17AlavesAlaves194592131-1017
18Espanyol1944111731-1416
19Valencia1927101829-1113
20Real ValladolidValladolid1933121337-2412


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