Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Betis | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
43.15% ( -0.01) | 26.93% ( -0) | 29.91% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.55% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.62% ( 0.01) | 55.38% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.42% ( 0.01) | 76.58% ( -0.01) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.56% ( 0) | 25.43% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.74% | 60.25% |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.45% ( 0.02) | 33.54% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.81% ( 0.02) | 70.18% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Real Betis | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 11.68% 2-1 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 8% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 43.15% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.53% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 29.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |