Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 47%. A win for Elche had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Elche | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
26.8% ( 0.36) | 26.19% ( 0.15) | 47% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 49.81% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.89% ( -0.33) | 54.11% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.47% ( -0.27) | 75.53% ( 0.27) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.7% ( 0.12) | 35.29% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.94% ( 0.13) | 72.05% ( -0.13) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.99% ( -0.37) | 23.01% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.18% ( -0.54) | 56.81% ( 0.54) |
Score Analysis |
Elche | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.05% Total : 26.8% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.86% Total : 47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 32 |
7 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Sevilla | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
12 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |