MX23RW : Tuesday, January 14 22:38:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alaves logo
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
Elche
La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 29, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Rayo Vallecano logo

Elche
4 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Morente (45+1'), Boye (52'), Fidel (53'), Gumbau (72')
Clerc (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Iraola (37'), Garcia (45+4'), Saveljich (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Elche and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Elche
Wednesday, April 26 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, April 26 at 9pm in La Liga

We said: Elche 0-2 Rayo Vallecano

Elche are heading back down to the Segunda Division for the 2023-24 campaign, and this will be a very difficult match against a Rayo side pushing towards the top six. We are actually expecting this to be a comfortable victory for the visitors, who were excellent against Barcelona last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 47%. A win for Elche had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
ElcheDrawRayo Vallecano
26.8% (0.36 0.36) 26.19% (0.145 0.15) 47% (-0.507 -0.51)
Both teams to score 49.81% (-0.145 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.89% (-0.326 -0.33)54.11% (0.323 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.47% (-0.273 -0.27)75.53% (0.27 0.27)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.7% (0.121 0.12)35.29% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.94% (0.128 0.13)72.05% (-0.131 -0.13)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (-0.372 -0.37)23.01% (0.369 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.18% (-0.54499999999999 -0.54)56.81% (0.543 0.54)
Score Analysis
    Elche 26.8%
    Rayo Vallecano 47%
    Draw 26.19%
ElcheDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 8.46% (0.134 0.13)
2-1 @ 6.47% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.4% (0.085 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.25% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.53% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 26.8%
1-1 @ 12.42% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.12% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 11.93% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 8.77% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.47% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.29% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 47%

How you voted: Elche vs Rayo Vallecano

Elche
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Rayo Vallecano
60.0%
40
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2022 8pm
gameweek 7
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Elche
Camello (40'), Lopez (90+5')
Boye (32')
Gonzalez (23')
Feb 18, 2022 8pm
gameweek 25
Elche
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
Carrillo (76'), Ponce (84')
Guti (32'), Mojica (90+6')
Garcia (52')
Comesana (7'), Catena (68'), Sylla (72'), Balliu (75')
Oct 17, 2021 1pm
gameweek 9
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Elche
Hernandez (26'), Nteka (65')
Lopez (81'), Garcia (90+1')
Boye (14')
Gumbau (28'), Casilla (90+4')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Third Round
Rayo Vallecano
2-0
Elche
Bebe (36'), Catena (78')
Isi (75')

Nino (39'), Lucumi (71')
Mar 8, 2020 11am
gameweek 31
Rayo Vallecano
2-3
Elche
Suarez (30' pen.), Montiel (88')
Advincula (45'), Milic (84'), Catena (90')
Isi (63')
Gil (58'), Milla (67'), Escriche (79')
Manolin (45'), Gil (73'), Fidel (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico19135134122244
2Real Madrid19134243192443
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal198653431330
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad198471713428
8GironaGirona198472725228
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196762123-225
11Osasuna196762328-525
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas196492429-522
15Getafe194781316-319
16Leganes194781829-1119
17AlavesAlaves1945102131-1017
18Espanyol1944111731-1416
19Real ValladolidValladolid1943121337-2415
20Valencia1927101829-1113


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!